Crowdfund Insider

Sweden’s Riksbank Research : AI Models Outperforming Traditional Time Series Models in Predicting GDP, Inflation

Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, is embracing a transformative shift in economic forecasting, as recent findings from its Monetary Policy Department reveal that artificial intelligence (AI)-based ...
San Francisco Fed

The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy

We introduce the performance-based Shapley value (PBSV) to measure the contributions of individual predictors to the out-of-sample loss for time-series forecasting models. Our new metric allows a ...