It is widely known that markets can be influenced by economic data releases that deviate significantly from consensus. We have quantified the impact of economic surprises on the US government bond ...

Stocks made new record highs, with the S&P 500 setting an intraday high of 5,261.10 and a closing high of 5,241.53 on Thursday. For the week, the S&P increased 2.3% to close at 5,234.18. The index is ...

The inverted yield curve has predicted the last seven recessions. And it is inverted again. 2023 kicked off with a promising start for the markets. With investors betting on a pause in interest rate ...

The risk curve illustrates the balance between risk and return in investments. Learn how it guides portfolio optimization and decision-making.

Inflation has climbed since 2021, as the labor market has tightened. Two historical data relationships can account for elevated inflation over the past two years: the Beveridge curve, which relates ...